Key Findings
- Bangladesh’s digital economy is projected to reach $25 billion by 2030, but AI-powered services increasingly capture value that would otherwise flow to domestic firms
- Currently, 85% of Bangladeshi user data is processed on servers located outside Bangladesh, creating security vulnerabilities and economic leakage
- China offers AI infrastructure investment at attractive terms but raises surveillance and dependency concerns
- India’s Digital Public Infrastructure (DPI) model provides an alternative but comes with political entanglement risks
- Bangladesh has a window to craft a third path: open standards with domestic data sovereignty
The AI Colonialism Question
The global AI economy is creating new patterns of dependency that mirror historical colonial relationships. Just as raw resources were once extracted from the Global South to feed industrial factories in Europe and North America, today data is extracted from developing countries to train AI systems that create value elsewhere.
Bangladesh sits at a crossroads:
- Option A: Become a data colony, supplying raw data to train foreign AI systems while importing expensive AI services
- Option B: Build domestic AI capacity, keeping data within Bangladesh and developing indigenous AI industries
- Option C: Find a middle path, selective partnerships with foreign technology while building sovereign foundations
The choice made in 2026 will determine Bangladesh’s digital trajectory for a generation.
The Stakes
Consider the parallel to natural resources:
- Countries that export raw bauxite earn pennies per ton while aluminum companies capture the value-add
- Countries that process bauxite into aluminum capture more value but remain dependent on foreign technology
- Countries that develop their own aluminum industry from mine to manufactured good capture full value
Data in the AI economy works similarly. Bangladesh must decide where it sits on this value chain.
The Data Extraction Economy
Bangladesh’s rapid digitalization has created valuable data assets:
User Data at Scale
- 100+ million mobile subscribers generating transaction, location, and behavioral data
- 50+ million social media users creating content, engagement, and preference data
- 35+ million digital financial services users generating transaction history
- 15+ million e-commerce users creating purchase pattern data
Data Flows Today
Currently, approximately 85% of this data leaves Bangladesh for processing on servers located in:
- United States (Meta, Google, Amazon services)
- Singapore (regional data centers for global tech companies)
- China (TikTok, apps with Chinese ownership)
- India (Zomato, payment services, content platforms)
This creates several problems:
Economic Leakage
When data is processed abroad, the economic value from AI development flows elsewhere. The AI models trained on Bangladeshi data become proprietary assets of foreign companies, which then sell AI services back to Bangladesh at premium prices.
Security Vulnerabilities
Data stored outside Bangladesh is subject to foreign jurisdictions, meaning:
- Bangladesh cannot guarantee protection of sensitive citizen data
- Lawful access by Bangladeshi authorities depends on foreign legal cooperation
- Data can be seized during international disputes or sanctions
Dependency Risk
If foreign companies control the digital infrastructure that Bangladesh depends on, they can exert leverage during political disputes. We’ve seen this with Russia’s exclusion from SWIFT, Iran’s isolation from global payment systems, and Venezuela’s difficulties accessing international markets.
The Dependency Dilemma
The Chinese Offer: Silk Road for AI
China has positioned itself as Bangladesh’s partner for digital infrastructure development, expanding Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) cooperation into the technology domain.
The Package
Chinese tech companies, with state backing, have offered Bangladesh:
- 5G network infrastructure at concessional financing rates
- Smart city platforms for Dhaka, Chittagong, and other urban centers
- Cloud computing capacity through Huawei Cloud and Alibaba Cloud partnerships
- AI development centers with training programs for Bangladeshi engineers
- Surveillance technology for public security (already partially deployed)
The Attraction
Chinese offers are attractive for several reasons:
- Financing terms are more concessional than Western alternatives
- Technology transfer commitments are more comprehensive
- Implementation speed is faster than Western competitors
- No political conditions around democracy or human rights
The Risks
But Chinese digital partnerships carry specific risks:
Surveillance Backdoors: Chinese equipment and software have been found to contain surveillance capabilities that allow data access to Chinese state agencies. This isn’t theoretical—network equipment in multiple countries has been documented with these capabilities.
Standards Lock-in: Chinese technology often uses proprietary standards incompatible with global systems, creating dependency on Chinese ecosystems.
Political Pressure: If Bangladesh becomes dependent on Chinese digital infrastructure, China gains leverage during disputes. This matters given Bangladesh’s delicate relationship with India, which China sees as a rival.
The Sri Lanka Experience
Sri Lanka accepted Chinese investment in smart city infrastructure, only to find that:
- Equipment costs for expansion were higher than market rates
- Technical support required Chinese personnel with security clearances
- Data sharing agreements were more expansive than disclosed initially
- Political disputes led to service disruptions
This experience offers lessons for Bangladesh.
The Indian Alternative: Digital Public Infrastructure
India has proposed an alternative model based on its Digital Public Infrastructure (DPI) experience—open, interoperable systems that can be adapted for Bangladesh.
The DPI Model
India’s DPI consists of:
- Aadhaar-like digital identity systems
- Unified Payments Interface (UPI) for digital payments
- Data protection frameworks with sovereignty guarantees
- Open standards that allow multiple private sector providers to compete
The Proposition
India has offered to help Bangladesh implement similar systems, with:
- Technical assistance from India’s digital infrastructure teams
- Shared code bases from India’s proven systems
- Training programs for Bangladeshi civil servants and technologists
- Regional connectivity allowing interoperability between Indian and Bangladeshi systems
The Benefits
The Indian model offers genuine advantages:
- Proven at scale in a country with similar development challenges
- Open standards prevent lock-in to any single provider
- Sovereignty protections built into the architecture
- Cost efficiencies from using already-developed systems
The Concerns
But Indian cooperation carries its own risks:
- Political entanglement in a relationship already fraught with tension
- ** asymmetry**—India has more capacity and could exert leverage
- Data access questions if Bangladesh’s systems are integrated with Indian infrastructure
- Regional dominance concerns if India becomes the digital hegemon in South Asia
The Third Path: Sovereign Digital Foundations
Rather than choosing between Chinese or Indian digital dependency, Bangladesh can pursue a third path: building sovereign digital foundations that enable partnerships on equal terms.
Data Residency Requirements
Bangladesh should establish clear data residency rules:
- Primary data on Bangladeshi citizens must be stored in Bangladesh
- Processing of sensitive data (government, health, financial) must occur on Bangladeshi soil
- Cross-border data transfers require explicit consent and legal protections
- Mirror copies for backup are permitted, but primary storage must be domestic
This creates economic opportunity: Bangladesh becomes a location for data centers serving not just domestic needs but regional markets.
National Cloud Infrastructure
Bangladesh should develop state-sponsored or state-regulated cloud capacity:
- Bangladesh National Cloud offering government and private sector hosting
- Tiered security classifications for different types of data
- Open standards allowing portability between providers
- Public-private partnerships with international providers under Bangladeshi regulation
This allows foreign companies to operate in Bangladesh while ensuring data sovereignty.
AI Capacity Building
Rather than importing AI services, Bangladesh should build domestic AI capacity:
- University programs in AI, machine learning, and data science
- Research centers focused on Bangla language AI and regional applications
- Startup support for AI companies solving Bangladeshi problems
- Public sector AI adoption creating domestic markets for AI firms
The Economic Case
Building domestic AI capacity makes economic sense:
- AI services exported to Bangladesh cost foreign exchange
- Domestic AI companies retain value within Bangladesh
- AI-trained professionals can work remotely for global companies, earning foreign exchange
- Bangladesh can export AI services to other Muslim-majority countries with similar needs
The question is whether Bangladesh will be an AI consumer or an AI producer.
Policy Recommendations for 2026
The interim government should establish the framework for digital sovereignty before elections transfer power to the next government.
Short-Term Actions (2026)
Data Protection Law: Pass comprehensive data protection legislation that:
- Establishes Bangladeshi citizens’ rights over their data
- Requires consent for data collection and processing
- Mandates data residency for sensitive information
- Provides for cross-border data transfer safeguards
National Cloud Initiative: Launch the Bangladesh National Cloud with:
- Initial capacity for government data hosting
- Tiered security levels for different data classifications
- Open standards ensuring provider portability
- Private sector access on equal terms
AI Skills Fund: Create a $50 million fund for:
- University AI program development
- Research grants for Bangladeshi AI applications
- Startup support for domestic AI companies
- International training programs with technology transfer requirements
Medium-Term Framework (2026-2030)
Digital Sovereignty Strategy: Develop a comprehensive strategy covering:
- Data governance frameworks
- Cybersecurity capacity building
- International cooperation principles
- Economic development through digital sovereignty
Regional Cooperation: Work with other South Asian countries to:
- Develop joint frameworks for data governance
- Create regional alternatives to dominant tech platforms
- Build bargaining power for negotiations with large tech companies
- Share experiences in digital sovereignty efforts
The Bottom Line
Conclusion
The AI age is creating new patterns of global inequality. Countries that establish digital sovereignty early will capture the benefits of the AI economy. Countries that remain data colonies will export raw data and import expensive AI services, perpetuating economic dependency.
Bangladesh has a brief window to choose its digital future. The decisions made in 2026 will determine whether Bangladesh becomes a digital sovereign or a data dependency in the AI age.