The Three-Front Trap: How China-Pakistan Coordination Constrains India
Pentagon 2025 assessment confirms China-Pakistan military coordination creates a three-front constraint that makes Indian aggression against Bangladesh strategically unwinnable.
Expert analysis and commentary on issues affecting Bangladesh and the region from Inqilab Delta Forum's research team.
Pentagon 2025 assessment confirms China-Pakistan military coordination creates a three-front constraint that makes Indian aggression against Bangladesh strategically unwinnable.
With Pakistan increasingly risky and China untouchable, BJP's India faces growing pressure to find an outlet for manufactured nationalist rage. Bangladesh—non-nuclear, militarily weaker, and already targeted by Hindu victimhood propaganda—presents the 'safest' target for limited military action. This analysis examines the pretexts being constructed, the military infrastructure being positioned, and the scenarios Bangladesh must prepare for.
BJP's Hindu nationalist project mirrors the authoritarian decay that consumed Awami League Bangladesh. When electoral defeats come—and they will—the manufactured hatred toward Pakistan and China, though politically useful, is militarily unactionable. This creates dangerous pressure for 'manageable' conflicts, making limited strikes and potential false flag operations the preferred tools of a declining regime.
A clinical examination of hatred politics as political pathology—its anatomy, lifecycle, and observed patterns of decline. The Hasina regime provides the completed case study; BJP India demonstrates similar patterns.
Comprehensive analysis of Bangladesh's post-LDC trade stakes and the critical importance of securing EU GSP+ status before 2029.