Analysis and commentary on Bangladesh's political economy, foreign policy, and strategic affairs.
The 2025 shift in US policy from treating Bangladesh as a subset of India policy to engaging Dhaka on its own terms represents a potential paradigm shift — but whether it survives the next administration remains uncertain.
Analysis of why India's economic vulnerabilities, multi-front strategic constraints, and geopolitical risks make a full-scale military invasion of Bangladesh strategically suicidal—and how Dhaka can strengthen this deterrence against major aggression.
Defense alignment with Pakistan requires confronting Bangladesh's foundational trauma honestly—and weighing historical grievance against current strategic necessity.
Analysis of Indian media's attempt to redirect blame for anti-India protests in Bangladesh following Sharif Osman Hadi's martyrdom, examining the 'ISI narrative' and its strategic failures.
Analysis of the systematic misinformation campaign by Indian media outlets against Bangladesh, its scale, documented cases, and devastating impact on bilateral relations.
A policy alternative exists: India as 'well-wisher' rather than 'big brother'—pursuing genuine partnership that serves both nations' interests rather than Indian dominance.
India's 66% export dependence on Western and Gulf markets creates a structural vulnerability that makes military aggression economically catastrophic—unlike sanction-resistant Russia.
India's alleged support for separatist elements in Bangladesh's Chittagong Hill Tracts—combined with harboring Awami League fugitives—risks reigniting insurgencies in Northeast India that took decades to contain.
Pentagon 2025 assessment confirms China-Pakistan military coordination creates a three-front constraint that makes Indian aggression against Bangladesh strategically unwinnable.
With Pakistan increasingly risky and China untouchable, BJP's India faces growing pressure to find an outlet for manufactured nationalist rage. Bangladesh—non-nuclear, militarily weaker, and already targeted by Hindu victimhood propaganda—presents the 'safest' target for limited military action. This analysis examines the pretexts being constructed, the military infrastructure being positioned, and the scenarios Bangladesh must prepare for.